2026 Commercial Real Estate Outlook: Interest Rates, Refinancing Walls, and Where CRE Wins Next

Written By Aaron Sawyer

Criterion breaks down key macro trends heading into 2026—why industrial is stabilizing, office is stuck in a new normal, and retail is quietly the tightest sector—then closes with a “Worst Deal of the Week” teardown of a low-yield McDonald’s ground lease.

Aaron Sawyer
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Put a Cap on It: Cap Rate Guessing Game + The New CRE Tax Playbook for 2026